Persuasion with ambiguous receiver preferences
Published in Economic Theory, 2023
In Bayesian persuasion, a Sender with maxmin preferences linearizes the prior.
Published in Economic Theory, 2023
In Bayesian persuasion, a Sender with maxmin preferences linearizes the prior.
Published in Proceedings of the 33rd AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 2019
Classical NLP methods show how speech and voting records of U.S. senators differ in systematic ways.
Submitted, 2026.
We show how to convert expert-written codebooks into machine-extractable facts, building a universe-level annotated database of published U.S. Courts of Appeals opinions (440,000 published opinions, 1892–2025) with human-level accuracy at 1/500th the cost of hand coding.
Submitted, 2026.
Trump-appointed appellate judges do not produce more conservative case outcomes than other Republican appointees, but they do cast more conservative votes from the bench.
Last updated 2025. To be subsumed by the work in progress "A Structural Model of Opinion-Writing on Appellate Courts."
Partisanship causes more dissents on U.S. appellate courts, but those dissents do not always follow partisan lines.
Last updated 2022.
Exploring high-variance “trial balloon” projects can provide informational value even when they are ex-ante disliked.